HomeMini Snoops > News & Tools: Kmart - Toddler and Infant Girls (August 2004)
Kmart - Toddler and Infant Girls
August 2004


Kmart general overview

Kmart has been in the news plenty lately with their soaring stock prices despite slumping sales on the retail floor. True, the chain can’t deny that much of its current success is based on a sharp business plan more than it is about stunning apparel, but with a new design team in place in New York City, things are changing on the retail floor. The men’s and boy’s department is already showing signs of a turn around in philosophy. The junior and girl’s departments are still somewhat bare but if the rest of the store is any indication, that will change too. The current tie in of Route 66 to the WB’s favorite shows and stars is generating plenty of buzz; let’s hope that the merchandise and the deliveries keep up with the demand for trendy, casual, timely and affordable clothes that are an alternative to Target’s edgier looks and Wal-mart’s low low prices. take a look at some of the latest news on Kmart as well as in depth analyses of each department at Kmart!

Kmart Posts Profitable 2Q Despite Revenue Drop

Troy-based Kmart Holding Corp. reported its third straight profitable quarter, even though its revenue declined more than 15 percent. For the second quarter ending July 28, Kmart (Nasdaq: KMRT) reported net income of $155 million or $1.54 a share on revenue of $4.8 billion. That compares with a net loss of $5 million or 6 cents on revenue of $5.6 billion for the same period last year. Kmart’s gross margin, as a percentage of sales, increased to 26 percent, compared with 22 percent for the same period last year. Kmart also reported a 15 percent drop in sales at stores open at least a year, which is often viewed as the best way to measure a retailer’s strength.

However, Richard Hastings, vice president and retail analyst with New York City-based Bernard Sands, said in a report that he isn’t concerned about Kmart’s drop in revenue and same-store sales because of how the company is managing its costs. Also, Hastings said the drop in sales is due in part to a reduction in advertising spending and to major changes in the retailer’s apparel lines. Such large merchandise shifts often cause sales declines, Hastings said.

For the first six months of the year, Kmart reported net income of $248 million or $2.47 a share on revenue of $9.4 billion. That compares with a net loss of $862 million on revenue of $11.8 billion for the same period last year. Kmart did not release comparable earnings-per-share numbers for the first six months of 2003 because the company was still in Chapter 11 bankruptcy for a portion of that time.

How to Label Kmart is Not a Simple Task for Wary Investors

Speculators in retailer Kmart Holding Corp. have had a marvelous 15-month ride: The discounter’s stock has quintupled since its Chapter 11 bankruptcy ended in May of 2003. Kmart shares on Monday topped off their rally by leaping $11.15, or 17 percent, to $76.05 — helping boost the overall stock market — as the long-languishing merchandiser reported a second-fiscal-quarter profit of $155 million, or $1.54 a share, compared with a small loss in the year-before quarter.

Though its stock is flying, it’s far too early to declare a comeback for the company, once the biggest U.S. retailer but now an also-ran to Wal-Mart Stores Inc. and Target Corp. in the discount business. Kmart’s quarterly profit came because the company shrunk itself, saving money by dumping its poorest stores. Kmart’s sales in the most recent quarter declined 15 percent to $4.79 billion. Happy Kmart investors not only should be wondering if the company can truly revive itself, but whether it will actually survive in the discount trade. Kmart is now in the hands of Edward Lampert, 42, head of ESL Investment Inc. in Greenwich, Conn., who acquired a 52.6 percent stake in the company for about $755 million. Lampert is a money manager and former risk arbitrage player at Goldman Sachs Group Inc., not a merchandiser. The chief executive of Kmart is Julian Day, once chief operating officer of retail rival Sears, Roebuck & Co. Given Lampert’s background, he might be as likely to liquidate Kmart as keep it in the competition. Kmart got rid of 599 stores while in bankruptcy and on July 28 had 1,503 outlets. Lampert plans to get out of as many as 73 additional stores through the sale and assignment of leases to Sears and Home Depot Inc., the home improvement retailer. The Sears agreement could bring in as much as $621 million, the Home Depot deal as much as $289 million. That would add nicely to Kmart’s cash holdings, which rose to $2.63 billion from $2.09 billion in the 26 weeks ended July 28.

Lampert may be trying to prune Kmart to save it. But once he jettisons the worst outlets, the improvement will come harder. Kmart can’t declare a comeback unless it starts to increase sales again. Instead of seeking growth, Lampert might decide that the company is worth more dead than alive and keep on liquidating. Competitors would love that; even a poorly run rival can steal business. Kmart may have another option. Lampert, a money manager remember, has the right to invest the retailer’s spare cash in other securities. He might opt to reduce Kmart to a group of stores designed to generate cash that he can invest in other distressed companies like Kmart.

For the moment, Lampert sees opportunity in retail. He also controls about 15 percent of Sears and has stakes in AutoNation Inc., the car dealer, and AutoZone Inc., the car parts company. And, as a fan of multi-billionaire investor Warren Buffett, he might copy the Berkshire Hathaway Inc. chief and let his investments run. Lampert probably would have trouble finding a buyer for Kmart, in any case. Still, with his

Kmart holdings now worth about $4 billion, Lampert may not want to keep betting that much on the retailer’s ability to get back among the leaders.

Kmart is Rich in Cash and Real Estate but Not in Sales

Now that Kmart has posted its third profitable quarter in a row and announced that it has an extra $2.6 billion in cash to spend, the eternal question remains: Just what is Kmart's future as a retailer?

With Edward S. Lampert, founder of the investment company ESL Partners, steering the retailer since he became chairman, Kmart now looks like a true retail oddity: simultaneously losing ground with the American shopper and generating cash like a slot machine.The company reported a 15 percent decline in sales for the most recent quarter, but the stock price has climbed this year from a low of $22.41 in January to close at $76.89 yesterday.

Kmart's big investors, behind Mr. Lampert, include Goldman Sachs and TIAA-CREF, as well as various hedge funds like Atticus Capital Management. All of them, presumably, have seen some sort of writing on the wall and liked, or at least agreed with, what they saw. The chief attraction seems to be Kmart's real estate, fund managers invested in the company said. With most of its 1,400 stores leased at an average cost of $2 a square foot, compared with $3 for Wal-Mart Stores and $20 for Home Depot, according to a recent Deutsche Bank report, Kmart's portfolio looks like a gold mine to investors regardless of what happens to the sales inside those stores.

Kmart has already announced plans to sell as many as 54 stores to Sears, Roebuck & Company for $621 million, as well as 13 to 19 others to Home Depot for as much as $288.5 million. (The Home Depot deal originally involved as many as 24 stores, but the number was reduced this month.) " These are proven, established locations, so the diligence process is a lot quicker for someone buying one of these leases," said one fund analyst, citing his company's policy. "There's no zoning hurdle," and other issues like neighborhood opposition that might slow the opening of a new store have long been settled.

Gary M. Giblen, director of research at C. L. King & Associates in Manhattan, contends that even drawn and quartered, Kmart may not be worth as much as its share price suggests. He said he believed that its stores, many of them in strip malls and urban areas, could bring far less than the $15.2 million average per store that the Home Depot deal commanded. " In most parts of the country, it's cheaper to build," he said, "and why would you want to inherit a bad location?"

Another factor that bullish investors say they like is the merchandising at Kmart. The chain's longtime focus on increasing or at least stabilizing sales levels in existing stores is being abandoned. Instead, Kmart managers are being told to trim costs but keep core customers. One fund manager said he expected the recent decline in sales to improve by the fourth quarter of this year, in part because Kmart has brought in new kinds of apparel and made deals, like one with the WB Network regarding its fall television lineup, to promote its products.

The company is also more demanding of its vendors. One former Kmart supplier said the company was charging them for deliveries that arrive more than one day ahead of schedule or one day late. In the past, this former supplier said, the window was more like five days before penalties were imposed.

Still, some watching events unfold at what is the nation's third-largest discounter are convinced that Kmart represents a bad enterprise posing for the moment as a great stock. "Kmart is not being run that much as a retailer," said Mr. Giblen, pointing out that the chief executive, Julian C. Day, was a chief financial officer at Sears, Roebuck and Safeway. "The C.E.O. is a financial engineering guy, and they are really running it as a company to be restructured."

Kmart's $2.6 billion in cash also raises a red flag for Mr. Giblen, who compared the chain to smaller rivals, now extinct, like Bradlees, Ames and Caldor. He says he thinks one-time benefits - the sale of pre-bankruptcy inventory in Kmart's warehouses along with closed stores, as well as the hardball tactics with suppliers - are behind the cash buildup and he says he does not believe that Kmart can sustain that. " Besides, the lower- to middle-income customer is tapped out," he said, " and Kmart is really the low-end customer."

Mr. Giblen says he thinks that some Kmart investors may be unaware of how fast a discounter's story can end. "A retailer can look good on paper, but completely fall apart faster than anybody can imagine," he said. "If the sales go down, the expense structure is fixed with rent and payroll, so the thing can implode very quickly." He predicted that the $2.6 billion in cash could be used to buy back Kmart stock, which, at the current levels, would be highly profitable for investors who got in during Kmart's darkest days.

Kmart would not provide an executive to comment on the situation, and a spokesman cited "the new company policy" by way of explanation. Manufacturers who supply goods to Kmart and were left empty-handed when the company filed for bankruptcy were promised shares as well. And while some of them have received them, others have not and that may have helped bolster the share price as well, Mr. Giblen said.

Even fund managers who are holding the stock long term say the lack of specific direction from Kmart can be baffling. "That's been the modus operandi there for a while," one said. Whether the cash built up will become a special dividend for investors is one possibility; a stock buyback or another kind of investment are other possibilities as well.

The Lampert era at Kmart has brought its share of obvious changes. The company has also made some high-profile merchandising changes, like creating a design office for Lisa Schultz, its chief creative officer, not in Troy, Mich., where the rest of Kmart is based, but in Manhattan's trendy Chelsea neighborhood. "The company deserves a lot of credit because the people they brought in to do in-house apparel for women and girls are doing a terrific job," said Burt Flickinger III, a retail consultant. But even so, "inventory levels are light, and that just offsets the sales declines they are experiencing on Martha Stewart," he added. "At the end of every month, you're still not offsetting the losses that you have."

Vendors Join Forces to Fight Kmart's Claims for Money

Seven months after Kmart Holding Corp. filed lawsuits to take back $174 million in payments made to key vendors during its bankruptcy, the Troy retailer has settled with just a handful of them in a case that could go to the U.S. Supreme Court. Kmart of Troy has settled with 179 vendors out of 1,189 it sued in January and collected $12 million through July 28, according to a filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission earlier this week. But large vendors with millions at risk have not settled with the nation's third-largest retailer. Many have teamed up to share legal bills and can afford to wait out either a decision in bankruptcy court in Chicago or a review by the Supreme Court. "It's the most discussed (bankruptcy) case in the country," said Barbara Rom, a partner in the bankruptcy and restructuring group of Pepper Hamilton LLP of Detroit. "I think the Supreme Court is likely to hear it. It changes the complexion of bankruptcy cases." The vendors have requests pending before U.S. Bankruptcy Judge Susan Pierson Sonderby in Chicago to dismiss Kmart's claims for the money. A hearing is set for December in the lawsuit involving Handleman Co. of Troy. The payments to these so-called critical vendors were approved by Sonderby days after Kmart's Jan. 22, 2002, Chapter 11 filing. The payments, which totaled $327 million, went to 2,330 vendors including Kmart's food distributor, egg and dairy suppliers, newspapers, including the Detroit Free Press, and others involved in the retailer's advertising program.

Vendors who didn't receive the special payments contend the payment system was unfair. In April 2003, U.S. District Judge John Grady in Chicago ruled that the payments to some vendors over others were not allowed in the bankruptcy code. His decision surprised many in the bankruptcy arena as such critical vendor payments had become common in corporate restructurings nationwide. Grady's decision was upheld in February 2004 by the 7th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals in Chicago. Now that the courts have ruled that the critical payment practice discriminated against some vendors, Kmart wants its money back. The payments, however, are not likely to have a major impact on the $23-billion retailer's finances. Rom said the payments were rarely allowed 10 years ago. In the Kmart case, she said many of the vendors were paid on the assumption that they would have refused to do more business with Kmart without the money. She said "there is a high likelihood" that Kmart will recoup the payments from vendors still actively in business. Kmart declined comment.

Kmart had argued in favor of the payments, saying its business would be hurt if key vendors stopped supplying its stores. But the appeals court chided Kmart and Sonderby, saying the retailer offered no proof to support the argument. The court also ruled that paying certain vendors and not others was discriminatory. About 45,000 other unsecured creditors were given approximately 10 cents on the dollar, paid mostly in Kmart Holding stock as part of Kmart's plan of reorganization approved in May 2003. Kmart Holding stock since then has nearly quadrupled. Vendors paid with newly issued Kmart Holding stock could recoup about 60 cents for each dollar they were owed at current share prices, Rom said. Kmart shares closed down 34 cents to $76.55 on Friday. "It's one of the few cases where people got stock and it really was worth something," Rom said.

Handleman is fighting in court to keep the $49 million it received after Kmart's January 2002 bankruptcy filing. Kmart has until next month to respond to Handleman's motion to dismiss the lawsuit. Handleman spokesman Greg Mize declined comment on the legal battle, but said "Kmart is a valued customer and has been a valued customer for years." The music distributor said in a June 30, 2003, statement that it should not have to return the money because it gave up other avenues to recoup what it was owed when Kmart designated it a critical vendor.

A group of 14 newspaper companies including Knight Ridder, owner of the Free Press, the Washington Post Co. and the Hearst Corp, also is asking Sonderby to dismiss Kmart's lawsuit to collect about $30 million from them. The case began when one creditor, Capital Factors of Boca Raton, Fla., challenged the payments since its clients did not receive them. Capital Factors held about $20 million in unsecured claims against the retailer.

Toddler and infant department overview
The I/T department looked like it was in transition to a new way of doing business. There were two rounders by the house tag Wonder Kids that were on trend for cut, color and theme! The grouping featured a cozy pink based plaid mini skirt, an embroidered twill jumper in dusty pink or tan and a few tops to tie in. The table top program also looked cleaned up and featured a 2 for $9 price point for basic tops. Route 66 was not very evident but the Wonder Kids did offer a denim grouping in girls and a twill/ plaid group for boys. The layette wall featured safe stripe and solid pieces in blue, pink and yellow with green combos. The rounders were reserved for terry, poly and cotton sleepers, creepers and sleeping gowns for newborns.

Opportunities in the infant's and toddler's department
The I/T department was quite bare but a few of the groupings and ideas on the floor made sense and seemed to indicate a new direction for the store. We have been talking about how the entire Infant and Toddler market is moving towards more mature styling even in the smallest sizes. It is that thinking that we would like to see applied to the trends and silhouettes used in the department going forward. In terms of items that we would love to see here, for girls we see ponchos, layered tees (done as separate layers so that mom can wash the top layer or mix it with another layered look), vests in transitional fabrics to wear on crisp autumn afternoons, simple denim pants, skirts and a jacket that can be worn with anything and not just as part of a grouping, fun or licensed rain coats and a light weight crochet sweater, cardy or vest. For boys we would like to see basic but well laundered or even tinted denim jeans, a jacket and perhaps a vest, sweater vests, cozy knit shirts perhaps with woven trims, layered knit tops and maybe a transitional vest in nylon.

A look into the department:


Knit Tops

Pretty in pink is the big idea here coming in from all brands at $5.99. Prints and patterns on feminine styles like puff sleeves and unfinished hems are on deck.

Click on the photos below to enlarge!
Toddlers
Hanes
$4.99
Wonder Kids
$5.99
Wonder Kids
$5.99
Wonder Kids
$5.99
Strawberry Shortcake $5.99
         
 
Nick Jr.
$5.99
Care Bears
$5.99
Wonder Kids
$5.99
Wonder Kids
$5.99
 
         
Click on the photos below to enlarge!
Infants
         
     
Small wonders
$5.99
Small wonders
$5.99
     
     

Woven Tops

Dressy pheasant tops from Wonder kids are the rage with details like embroidered hemlines and peter pan collars.

Click on the photos below to enlarge!
Toddlers
         
 
Wonder Kids
$7.99
Wonder Kids
$7.99
Wonder Kids
$7.99
Wonder Kids
$7.99
 
Click on the photos below to enlarge!
Infants
         
       
Wonder Kids
$7.99
       
       
       
   
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