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Los Angeles Retail Buzz!
November 05, 2003

This month we took to the malls in and around Los Angeles to bring you the Buzz from the majors here. Robinson's May, Mervyn's and Macy's are mid market retailers that have strong ties to the Western United States market and that feature merchandise that is slightly different from anything you'll find at national retail chains. Most national retailers experienced positive numbers for September sales and expected that trend to continue on through the holidays. The intense heat and forest fires In California may have kept the lid on spending for the last few weeks of October but the sharp turn to cooler temperatures on the west coast will surely have people heading to the stores for winter gear through November.

Here is a snapshot of the most recent sales figures followed by a look at the movers and the shakers from the floors of Macy's, Robinson's May and Mervyn's LA.

The May Department Stores Company [NYSE: MAY] reported preliminary net sales of $887.2 million for the four week period ended Nov. 1, 2003, a 2.4% decrease from $909.1 million in the similar period last year. Store-for store sales decreased 4.2%. October store-for-store sales decreased 3.5%, excluding the remaining 32 stores that May previously announced it will divest. Federated Department Stores, Inc. reported total sales of $1.352 billion for the five weeks ended October 4, 2003. This represents an increase of 3.0 percent compared to total sales of $1.314 billion in the same period last year.

Mervyn's, with its 266 stores, has been performing slightly below the expectations of Target Corp. with a 7.7% decrease for the year to date and a 9.3% tumble for September sales.

Federated's September sales were up 3.2 percent, compared to prior forecasts of flat to down 1 percent. Terry J. Lundgren, Federated's president and chief executive officer, said the company was pleased by the strength of its September sales. "We were especially encouraged by the strength of apparel sales across the company in September, at least partially reflecting the arrival of fall's cooler temperatures in the eastern half of the country," Lundgren said, adding that "it remains to be seen whether this sales trend is permanent or if it reflects sales taken from October and the fourth quarter."

Indeed, the National Retail Federation predicts that November and December sales will rise 5.7 percent over last year to $217.4 billion. That would more than double last season's sales growth rate and produce the best holiday showing since sales climbed 8.2 percent in 1999, according to the NRF, the nation's largest retail trade group.

"It seems clear that the economy is picking up momentum just in time for the holidays," said Rosalind Wells, chief economist for the NRF. "Retail sales gains for the 2003 holiday season will be far better than the meager increases retailers experienced a year ago."


Mervyn's
The unanimous verdict in all of the girls departments was that cuddly sets are where things are at right now. Velour and fleece sets with feminine styling and cute touches work best. AT Mervyn's the best generic sets feature fur collars, embroideries and reshaped pockets that are cuter than the standard kanga. Licensed sets with Tinkerbell and Hello Kitty were doing well. Denim has also been great with this lace up front style getting plenty of attention.

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Robinson's May
At Robinson's May the cute and cuddly sentiment was echoed by the staff. They also added that embroidered denim was very hot at this time. Florals and butterflies were naturally the most sought after. The Skechers line looks great here and features grown up looks but done with a sweet touch and has been doing well we were told. Very hairy jackets, faux fur and sherpa have also been checking.

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Macy's
Both denim and velour are the best selling items here with velour sets and embroidered denim as the best way to go. Embroidered jeans and jumpers with a folkloric touch were best while the tried and true trainer and pant set did very in pastel velour.

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